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Don't Race Out To Buy Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co., Ltd. (HKG:1292) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

買いに走らないでください。Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co.、Ltd.(HKG:1292)は単純に配当金を受け取るからといってすぐに購入してはいけません

Simply Wall St ·  06/28 18:30

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics Co., Ltd. (HKG:1292) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics' shares on or after the 3rd of July, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 27th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.20 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥0.20 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics stock has a trailing yield of around 9.6% on the current share price of HK$2.25. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics paid out 57% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the past year it paid out 117% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. It's hard to consistently pay out more cash than you generate without either borrowing or using company cash, so we'd wonder how the company justifies this payout level.

Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:1292 Historic Dividend June 28th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics, with earnings per share up 4.1% on average over the last five years. Earnings have been growing somewhat, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.2% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics? Earnings per share have grown somewhat, although Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics paid out over half its profits and the dividend was not well covered by free cash flow. It's not that we think Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 3 warning signs for Changan Minsheng APLL Logistics that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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