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Could The Market Be Wrong About China Jushi Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600176) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

中国重石股份有限公司(SHSE:600176)が魅力的な財務見通しを持つとしたら、市場は間違っている可能性がありますか?

Simply Wall St ·  06/28 19:10

With its stock down 6.8% over the past month, it is easy to disregard China Jushi (SHSE:600176). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Jushi's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Jushi is:

8.5% = CN¥2.6b ÷ CN¥30b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

China Jushi's Earnings Growth And 8.5% ROE

At first glance, China Jushi's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.5% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This certainly adds some context to China Jushi's moderate 17% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 2.1% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600176 Past Earnings Growth June 28th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about China Jushi's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is China Jushi Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 32% (implying that the company retains 68% of its profits), it seems that China Jushi is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, China Jushi is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 39% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that China Jushi's future ROE will rise to 11% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with China Jushi's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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