David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002568) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group Carry?
As you can see below, Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group had CN¥1.73b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥1.57b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥164.5m.
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A Look At Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥1.82b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.10b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.57b and CN¥217.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.14b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group has a market capitalization of CN¥17.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group has a very light debt load indeed.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group's net debt is only 0.15 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 251 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
The good news is that Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shanghai Bairun Investment Holding Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com