The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies CSSC Science& Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600072) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is CSSC Science& Technology's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 CSSC Science& Technology had debt of CN¥20.0b, up from CN¥774.4m in one year. However, it also had CN¥6.71b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥13.3b.
A Look At CSSC Science& Technology's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CSSC Science& Technology had liabilities of CN¥21.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥16.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.71b in cash and CN¥15.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥15.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥20.4b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CSSC Science& Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year CSSC Science& Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 44%, to CN¥12b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While CSSC Science& Technology's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥71m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥9.6b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for CSSC Science& Technology you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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