Qilian International Holding Group Limited (NASDAQ:QLI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Qilian International Holding Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Qilian International Holding Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Qilian International Holding Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Qilian International Holding Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Qilian International Holding Group's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 28%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 7.1% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Qilian International Holding Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Qilian International Holding Group's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Qilian International Holding Group's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It's no surprise that Qilian International Holding Group maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Qilian International Holding Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
Qilian International Holding Group Limited (NASDAQ: QLI) の株主は、先月に40%の株価上昇で忍耐強く報われました。少し遡ってみると、この株式が過去1年間で29%上昇していることは励みになります。
株価が上昇しても、Qilian International Holding GroupのSales比率("P/S")の0.9倍は、アメリカの医薬品業界と比較して買いの見込みがあるように見えます。同業界の約半数の企業が2.7倍以上のP/S比率を持ち、P/S比率が11倍以上の企業もかなり一般的です。それでも、減少したP/Sの合理的な根拠があるかどうかを掘り下げる必要があります。
Qilian International Holding GroupのP/Sは、株主にとってどういう意味があるのでしょうか?
例えば、Qilian International Holding Groupの売上高が最近減少していることは考えるべきことです。1つの可能性は、投資家が、将来も業界全体に及ばないと考えているために、P/Sが低いということです。しかし、これが起こらない場合、既存の株主は将来の株価の方向に楽観的に感じるかもしれません。
アナリストの予測はありませんが、弊社のQilian International Holding Groupの収益、売上高、キャッシュフローの無料レポートをチェックして、最近のトレンドが会社の将来にどのように向かっているかを確認できます。
売上高成長メトリクスは低いP / Sについて何を伝えていますか?
Qilian International Holding GroupのP/S比率のような業界平均を下回る場合、同社が業界平均以下のパフォーマンスを発揮することが前提となります。
これらの情報を元に、Qilian International Holding Groupが業界よりも低いP/Sで取引していることに驚くことはありません。それでも、収益減少が将来的にP/Sを安定させる可能性は低いため、株主を将来的な失望に向かわせる可能性があります。つまり、トップライン成長を改善しない場合、P/Sがさらに低いレベルに低下する可能性があります。
Qilian International Holding GroupのP/Sに関するまとめ
最新の株価の急騰は、Qilian International Holding GroupのP/Sを業界平均に近づけるのに十分ではありませんでした。一般的には、私たちは、Price-to-Sales比率の使用を限定し、市場が企業全体の健康状態について考えていることを確認するために使用します。
中期的な売り上げ減少によりQilian International Holding Groupの低P/Sが維持されたことは驚きではありません。この段階では、投資家は、収益の改善の可能性が高くないため、より高いP/S比率を正当化するのに十分な見込みがないと感じています。最近の中期的な売り上げトレンドが続く場合、この状況下では、近い将来に株価が着実に上昇する可能性も下落する可能性もないと予想されます。
しかし、Qilian International Holding Groupは我々の投資分析で3つの警告サインを示しており、その2つは少し懸念を抱かせるものです。アウェアになっておくようにしてください。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。