There wouldn't be many who think Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300832) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.7x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 70% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 24% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com