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Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600360) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

吉林シノマイクロエレクトロニクス㈱(SHSE:600360)の株価急騰26%は、収益と調和していません。

Simply Wall St ·  07/06 20:06

Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600360) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 58% share price decline over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

The earnings growth achieved at Jilin Sino-Microelectronics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600360 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 7th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jilin Sino-Microelectronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. EPS has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' P/E

Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Jilin Sino-Microelectronics revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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