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Jiangnan Yifan Motor Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301023) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

江南イーファンモーター株式会社(SZSE:301023)の株価上昇25%は、収益に合わない

Simply Wall St ·  07/11 19:31

Jiangnan Yifan Motor Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301023) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:301023 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 50% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangnan Yifan MotorLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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