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The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600639) Stock Falls a Further 5.3% in Past Week

上海金桥开发股份有限公司(SHSE:600639)の株価が過去1週間でさらに5.3%下落したため、5年間の株主リターンと企業利益は低水準を維持しています。

Simply Wall St ·  07/11 19:44

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600639) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 34% over a half decade. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 11% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 7.3% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Looking back five years, both Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 7.5% per year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 8% average annual decrease in the share price. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. So it's fair to say the share price has been responding to changes in EPS.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SHSE:600639 Earnings Per Share Growth July 11th 2024

This free interactive report on Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While it's never nice to take a loss, Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 13% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 17%. Given the total loss of 4% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone DevelopmentLtd (at least 3 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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