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Has Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corp.'s (HKG:322) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

康師傅(ケイマン諸島)ホールディング株式会社(HKG:322)の印象的な株価のパフォーマンスは、そのファンダメンタルズに何らかの関係があるのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/11 20:15

Most readers would already be aware that Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's (HKG:322) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding is:

20% = CN¥3.5b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.20 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To begin with, Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.3% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Despite this, Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 1.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

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SEHK:322 Past Earnings Growth July 12th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding has a high three-year median payout ratio of 50% (or a retention ratio of 50%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Additionally, Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 102% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's future ROE will rise to 28% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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