The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Graco Inc. (NYSE:GGG) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Graco's Debt?
As you can see below, Graco had US$29.7m of debt at March 2024, down from US$116.9m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has US$622.7m in cash, leading to a US$593.0m net cash position.
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How Strong Is Graco's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Graco had liabilities of US$351.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$99.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$622.7m and US$321.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has US$493.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Graco could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Graco has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that Graco saw its EBIT decline by 3.2% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Graco can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Graco may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Graco produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Graco has US$593.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Graco's debt use. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Graco insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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