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Could The Market Be Wrong About China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601949) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

中国出版メディアホールディングス株式会社(SHSE:601949)の魅力的な財務見通しを考慮して、市場が誤っている可能性がありますか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/12 21:47

It is hard to get excited after looking at China Publishing & Media Holdings' (SHSE:601949) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on China Publishing & Media Holdings' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Publishing & Media Holdings is:

9.4% = CN¥971m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of China Publishing & Media Holdings' Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE

On the face of it, China Publishing & Media Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.9% which we definitely can't overlook. Yet, China Publishing & Media Holdings has posted measly growth of 3.0% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China Publishing & Media Holdings' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 1.8% in the same period, which is great to see.

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SHSE:601949 Past Earnings Growth July 13th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is China Publishing & Media Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is China Publishing & Media Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While China Publishing & Media Holdings has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, China Publishing & Media Holdings has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with China Publishing & Media Holdings' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for China Publishing & Media Holdings visit our risks dashboard for free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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