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Ranpak Holdings Corp.'s (NYSE:PACK) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

ランパク・ホールディングスの(nyse: pack)の株価26%の上昇は収益と調和していません。

Simply Wall St ·  07/15 14:05

Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE:PACK) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 58% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Packaging industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Ranpak Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NYSE:PACK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

How Ranpak Holdings Has Been Performing

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Ranpak Holdings has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader industry adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ranpak Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Ranpak Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.7% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 5.6% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.8% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ranpak Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Ranpak Holdings' P/S

Ranpak Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've concluded that Ranpak Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ranpak Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ranpak Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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