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Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300401) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.(シェアコード:300401)の財務諸表は現在の株価の勢いにはあまり関連していない:株価には何が待ち受けているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/17 19:02

Most readers would already be aware that Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's (SZSE:300401) stock increased significantly by 41% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd is:

7.7% = CN¥232m ÷ CN¥3.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

At first glance, Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, we may spare it some thought. But then again, Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 4.1%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

However, when we compared Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.2% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SZSE:300401 Past Earnings Growth July 17th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (or a retention ratio of 80%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd has been paying dividends over a period of nine years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Zhejiang Garden BiopharmaceuticalLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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