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Avient Corporation's (NYSE:AVNT) Stock Been Rising But Financials Look Weak: Should Shareholders Be Worried?

アビエント株式会社(nyse:AVNT)の株価は上昇していますが、財務状況は弱いようです。株主は心配する必要があるでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/19 06:16

Avient's (NYSE:AVNT) stock is up by 7.0% over the past three months. Given that the markets usually pay for the long-term financial health of a company, we wonder if the current momentum in the share price will keep up, given that the company's financials don't look very promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Avient's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Avient is:

4.5% = US$105m ÷ US$2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Avient's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Avient's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 10%. As a result, Avient's flat net income growth over the past five years doesn't come as a surprise given its lower ROE.

We then compared Avient's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 14% in the same 5-year period.

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NYSE:AVNT Past Earnings Growth July 19th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Avient's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Avient Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 60% (meaning, the company retains only 40% of profits) for Avient suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Moreover, Avient has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 37% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 9.8% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, Avient's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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