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Improved Revenues Required Before Brightcove Inc. (NASDAQ:BCOV) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

ナスダックのブライトコーブ社株の26%の上昇には、売上の改善が必要です

Simply Wall St ·  07/19 08:22

Despite an already strong run, Brightcove Inc. (NASDAQ:BCOV) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Brightcove's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGS:BCOV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

What Does Brightcove's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Brightcove could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Brightcove.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Brightcove would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 1.4% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.2% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 8.4%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Brightcove's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does Brightcove's P/S Mean For Investors?

Brightcove's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Brightcove's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Brightcove that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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