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Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300391) 129% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

changjiang pharmaceutical group(シャンジャン製薬グループ)Co.,Ltd.(SZSE:300391)の株価が129%急騰したが、それほど説明されていない

Simply Wall St ·  07/19 20:05

Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300391) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 129% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Auto Components industry is similar at about 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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SZSE:300391 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

What Does Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 40% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S

Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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