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Is CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) A Risky Investment?

citic heavy industries (SHSE:601608) はリスキーな投資なのか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/20 20:14

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601608) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is CITIC Heavy Industries's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CITIC Heavy Industries had CN¥2.13b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥3.19b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥1.10b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.03b.

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SHSE:601608 Debt to Equity History July 21st 2024

A Look At CITIC Heavy Industries' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CITIC Heavy Industries had liabilities of CN¥8.03b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.78b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.10b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.54b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

CITIC Heavy Industries has a market capitalization of CN¥16.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

CITIC Heavy Industries's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, CITIC Heavy Industries turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥322m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CITIC Heavy Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, CITIC Heavy Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that CITIC Heavy Industries's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that CITIC Heavy Industries takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CITIC Heavy Industries is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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