While NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$4.56 and falling to the lows of HK$3.69. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether NagaCorp's current trading price of HK$3.83 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at NagaCorp's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Is NagaCorp Still Cheap?
According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that NagaCorp's ratio of 12.21x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 12.82x, which means if you buy NagaCorp today, you'd be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that NagaCorp should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since NagaCorp's share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from NagaCorp?
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Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for NagaCorp. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 3918's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 3918? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 3918, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 3918, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for NagaCorp from their most recent forecasts. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
If you are no longer interested in NagaCorp, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com