With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Multiline Retail industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600859) P/S ratio of 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
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How Has Wangfujing Group Performed Recently?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Wangfujing Group's and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. Those who are bullish on Wangfujing Group will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Wangfujing Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wangfujing Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wangfujing Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 9.7% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.3% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Wangfujing Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Wangfujing Group's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Wangfujing Group you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com