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Is Midea Group (SZSE:000333) A Risky Investment?

Midea Group(SZSE:000333)は、リスクのある投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/23 19:51

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Midea Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000333) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Midea Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Midea Group had CN¥67.5b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥74.9b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥97.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥30.5b net cash position.

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SZSE:000333 Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024

A Look At Midea Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Midea Group had liabilities of CN¥254.0b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥60.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥97.9b and CN¥84.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥132.0b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Midea Group is worth a massive CN¥428.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Midea Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Another good sign is that Midea Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 23% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Midea Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Midea Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Midea Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

While Midea Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥30.5b. The cherry on top was that in converted 119% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥56b. So we don't think Midea Group's use of debt is risky. Given Midea Group has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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