In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603983), since the last five years saw the share price fall 46%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 16% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 7.4% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
After losing 6.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Looking back five years, both Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 9.7% per year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 12% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240725/0-f6ed560cad689723052d82532a002615-0-c84f8320f5f3155a0d6b3b48486be618.png/big)
We know that Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's TSR for the last 5 years was -43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
The total return of 19% received by Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -19%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 7% per year. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology .
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com