Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300283) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 26% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
How Has Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 31% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
In line with expectations, Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wenzhou Hongfeng Electrical Alloy you should be aware of, and 3 of them make us uncomfortable.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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