With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.5x Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002020) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 53x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 17% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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