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Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:001208) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

湖南華菱電線電纜有限公司(SZSE:001208)の株価が上昇していますが、財務諸表はあいまいです。この勢いは続くのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  08/01 03:06

Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd (SZSE:001208) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd is:

5.6% = CN¥87m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.6% ROE

When you first look at it, Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd has shown a meagre net income growth of 3.8% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high . Hence, this does provide some context to low earnings growth seen by the company.

As a next step, we compared Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 12% in the same period.

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SZSE:001208 Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70% over the past three years, Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Hunan Valin Wire & CableLtd.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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