The Southern Company (NYSE:SO) defied analyst predictions to release its second-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 5.6% to hit US$6.5b. Southern reported statutory earnings per share (EPS) US$1.10, which was a notable 18% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Southern after the latest results.
NYSE:SO Earnings and Revenue Growth August 3rd 2024
Taking into account the latest results, Southern's 14 analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$26.5b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dip 4.7% to US$4.01 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$26.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.98 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$81.87, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Southern at US$94.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$70.00. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Southern's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 3.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.4% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Southern is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Southern going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Southern (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会（ASIC）の管理を受けております（AFSL No. 224663）。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Southern's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 3.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.4% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Southern is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants. 
もちろん、これらの予測を業種自体と比較してみることも可能です。サザンの収益成長が大幅に鈍化することが期待されていることは非常に明らかであり、2024年末までの収益が、年率3.0%の成長を示すことが期待されています。これは、過去5年間の成長率が6.4%だったことと比較されます。また、業種内で予測されている他の企業(アナリスト予測を含む)と比較すると、年間収益成長率が4.6%になると予想されています。成長鈍化を見込んだ場合、サザンは他の業界参加者よりも成長が遅くなると予想されます。 