China New Consumption Group Limited (HKG:8275) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 38% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 66% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China New Consumption Group's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does China New Consumption Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
China New Consumption Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China New Consumption Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is China New Consumption Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China New Consumption Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.6%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 1.3% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that China New Consumption Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From China New Consumption Group's P/S?
China New Consumption Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that China New Consumption Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with China New Consumption Group (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
China New Consumption Group Limited (HKG:8275)の株主は、株価が1か月で38%上昇したことを喜んでいるでしょう。ただし、最近失われた地盤を取り戻すのはまだ苦戦しています。1年間で66%の株価下落を記録しており、1か月間の結果もあまり改善されていません。
価格対売上高("P/S")の中央値が0.3xに近いため、China New Consumption GroupのP/S比率が0.5xであっても、建設業界の香港市場における中央値と近いため、何らかの合理的な根拠がない場合、投資家は明確な機会または潜在的なリスクを見落としている可能性があります。
China New Consumption Groupの最近のパフォーマンスはどうですか?
近年、China New Consumption Groupは収益を適度なペースで成長させており、今後も業界全体に沿った売上高の伸びが続くことを期待しているため、P/S比率は抑制されています。もしそうでなければ、既存の株主たちは株価の将来的な方向に対してあまり悲観的でないはずです。
アナリストの予測はありませんが、China New Consumption Groupの収益、売上高、キャッシュフローに関する無料レポートをチェックすることで、最近のトレンドが会社の将来に向けてどのように展開しているかを確認することができます。
China New Consumption Groupの売上高成長はどのように推移していますか?
China New Consumption GroupのP/S比率など業界と同等の水準であることが合理的であるという内在的な前提があります。
このことを念頭に置いて、China New Consumption GroupのP/S比率が同業他社よりも高いことは懸念材料です。最近の不振な成長率を投資家が無視し、将来的に同社のビジネス展望が好転することを望んでいることが分かります。しかしながら、P/S比率が最近の負の成長率に見合った水準にまで下がった場合、既存の株主は将来的な失望感を招く可能性があります。
最近の収益が中程度期間中に減少している間、産業が成長する見込みがあるにもかかわらず、China New Consumption Groupが現在他社産業と同じP/S率で取引している事実は驚くべきことです。成長予想のある業界において収益が後退していることを考慮すると、節度あるP/Sも低下し、株価も下がることが予想されます。最近の中程度期間の改善についての状況が変わらない限り、同社の株主にとって厳しい時期が予想されます。
さらに、China New Consumption Groupで発見されたこれら4つの警告サイン(無視できない2つを含む)についても学ぶ必要があります。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。