As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But really bad investments should be rare. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM), who have seen the share price tank a massive 85% over a three year period. That might cause some serious doubts about the merits of the initial decision to buy the stock, to put it mildly. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.
After losing 3.0% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Zoom Video Communications saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 3.7% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 47% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Zoom Video Communications has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 18% in the last year, Zoom Video Communications shareholders lost 15%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Zoom Video Communications better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zoom Video Communications (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
すべての投資家が知っているように、すべてのスイングがスイートスポットに当たるわけではありません。ただ、本当に悪い投資はまれです。それでは、Zoom Video Communications, Inc.(NASDAQ:ZM)の長期株主たちの共感を一瞬お寄せください。 3年間で株価が85%急落したことを見てください。それは穏やかに言えば、株の購入の初期決定のメリットについて深刻な疑問を抱くことになるかもしれません。それらの価格急落を乗り切ってホールドしている人々が多様化されたポートフォリオを持っていることを願っています。お金を失っても、教訓を失わなくて済むのです。
広範な市場が過去1年間で約18%の利益を上げた一方で、Zoom Video Communicationsの株主は15%失われました。良い株の株価が一時的に下落することもありますが、興味を持つ前にビジネスの基本的なメトリックスの改善を見たいと思います。残念ながら、昨年のパフォーマンスは、過去半年間の6%の年間損失よりも悪かったため、未解決の課題を示している可能性があります。一般的に、長期的な株価の弱さは悪い兆候である可能性がありますが、反対投資家は回復を期待して株式を研究したいと考えるかもしれません。株価の長期的なパフォーマンスを追跡するのは常に興味深いことです。ただし、Zoom Video Communicationsをより良く理解するには、多くの他の要因を考慮する必要があります。投資リスクの常に存在する悪夢を考慮してください。Zoom Video Communicationsで3つの警告サインを特定しました(無視すべきではないものが1つあります)。それらを理解することは、あなたの投資プロセスの一部であるべきです。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。