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Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's (SZSE:000713) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Soars 11% This Past Week

肥料発展種子の(SZSE:000713)収益予想は、この過去1週間で株価が11%上がったことにより、正転する可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  08/08 19:12

Hefei Fengle Seed Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000713) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 41% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

While the last three years has been tough for Hefei Fengle SeedLtd shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

While Hefei Fengle SeedLtd made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last three years, Hefei Fengle SeedLtd saw its revenue grow by 7.8% per year, compound. Given it's losing money in pursuit of growth, we are not really impressed with that. The stock dropped 12% during that time. If revenue growth accelerates, we might see the share price bounce. But ultimately the key will be whether the company can become profitability.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SZSE:000713 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Hefei Fengle SeedLtd shareholders are down 35% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 19%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hefei Fengle SeedLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hefei Fengle SeedLtd that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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