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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Zillow Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZG)

株主に対するリターンのリスクは、Zillow Group, Inc.(NASDAQ:ZG)のこれらの価格で高まっています。

Simply Wall St ·  08/09 10:02

Zillow Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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NasdaqGS:ZG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 9th 2024

What Does Zillow Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for Zillow Group has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zillow Group.

How Is Zillow Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zillow Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 17% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Zillow Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Zillow Group's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Given Zillow Group's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Zillow Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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