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Benign Growth For Intellicheck, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDN) Underpins Stock's 40% Plummet

インテリチェック(NASDAQ:IDN)の良性成長が、株価の40%の急落を支える

Simply Wall St ·  08/10 08:48

The Intellicheck, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 40%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 19% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Intellicheck's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGM:IDN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2024

How Intellicheck Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Intellicheck as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Intellicheck will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Intellicheck would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.8% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 22% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Intellicheck's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Shares in Intellicheck have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Intellicheck maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Intellicheck, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Intellicheck, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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