Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (NYSE:FNF) share price is up 31% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 17% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 12% higher than it was three years ago.
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Fidelity National Financial was able to grow EPS by 76% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 31% increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Fidelity National Financial as it was before. This could be an opportunity.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240812/0-323676ee9d0de9e81af305a6e7893c9e-0-b45ff96ef3ece996039ebf0159e1665c.png/big)
We know that Fidelity National Financial has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Fidelity National Financial, it has a TSR of 36% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Fidelity National Financial has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 36% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fidelity National Financial better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Fidelity National Financial you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.