Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. We don't wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. Imagine if you held LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002717) for half a decade as the share price tanked 79%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 69% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 48% in the last three months.
Since LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd has shed CN¥455m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last five years LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd saw its revenue shrink by 29% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. So it's not altogether surprising to see the share price down 12% per year in the same time period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240813/0-d9e7c15626418ae6b49e05c5e36be1b8-0-fac70b111af2a546078cc65f49cedf74.png/big)
If you are thinking of buying or selling LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 18% in the twelve months, LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 69%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd you should know about.
But note: LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.