Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does First Tractor Carry?
As you can see below, First Tractor had CN¥225.2m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥345.4m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.53b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.30b net cash position.
A Look At First Tractor's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that First Tractor had liabilities of CN¥6.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥553.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.53b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.25b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.76b.
Of course, First Tractor has a market capitalization of CN¥13.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, First Tractor boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also good is that First Tractor grew its EBIT at 20% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine First Tractor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While First Tractor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, First Tractor actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While First Tractor does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥3.30b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.0b, being 242% of its EBIT. So is First Tractor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for First Tractor you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
チャーリーマンガーがバックアップする伝説的なファンドマネージャー、リールー氏はかつて「最大の投資リスクは価格の変動ではなく、資本の永久的な損失が発生するかどうかです」と言いました。つまり、どの銘柄がリスクがあるか考えるときには、債務も考慮する必要があるということです。なぜなら、債務が過剰だと会社は沈没する可能性があるからです。First Tractor Company Limited(HKG:38)も他の多くの企業と同様に、債務を利用しています。しかし、株主はそれを心配する必要があるのでしょうか?
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。