Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does MediaCo Holding Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 MediaCo Holding had debt of US$6.46m, up from US$5.95m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$3.96m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.50m.
How Healthy Is MediaCo Holding's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MediaCo Holding had liabilities of US$16.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$17.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.96m and US$6.68m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$23.5m.
Of course, MediaCo Holding has a market capitalization of US$188.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, MediaCo Holding has a very light debt load indeed. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MediaCo Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year MediaCo Holding had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 16%, to US$32m. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
While MediaCo Holding's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost US$7.8m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$7.2m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that MediaCo Holding is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
投資家がリスクを考えるにあたって、債務ではなく変動を考えるべきだとする人もいますが、ウォーレン・バフェット氏は「変動は決してリスクと同義語ではない」と有名に述べています。企業のリスキーさを考える場合には、いつも債務使用を見ることを好みます。なぜなら、債務の過剰により破綻に至ることがあるからです。 MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA)がビジネスで債務を使用していることがわかりますが、株主はその債務使用について懸念する必要があるでしょうか?
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。