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It's Down 34% But Century Energy International Holdings Limited (HKG:8132) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

センチュリーエナジーインターナショナルホールディングスリミテッド(HKG:8132)は見た目以上にリスクがあるかもしれませんが、34%減少しています。

Simply Wall St ·  08/15 19:40

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Century Energy International Holdings Limited (HKG:8132) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 59% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Century Energy International Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electrical industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SEHK:8132 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2024

What Does Century Energy International Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Century Energy International Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Century Energy International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Century Energy International Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Century Energy International Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.3% decrease to the company's top line. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Century Energy International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Century Energy International Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Century Energy International Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Electrical industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision Century Energy International Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Century Energy International Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Century Energy International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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