Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:DRCT) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 41%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may still consider Direct Digital Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
For example, consider that Direct Digital Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Direct Digital Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Direct Digital Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 58% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Direct Digital Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
There's still some solid strength behind Direct Digital Holdings' P/E, if not its share price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Direct Digital Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Direct Digital Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.(NASDAQ:DRCT)の株主は、株価が非常に落ち込み、前の期間のプラスのパフォーマンスを台無しにする31%下落したと見ることはできません。それでも、悪い1カ月が過去1年間を完全に破壊したわけではありません。株価は41%上昇し、牛市でも素晴らしい結果になっています。
価格が大幅に下落しているにもかかわらず、アメリカの企業の約半数がP/E比率(または「P/E」)が17倍未満であることを考慮すると、Direct Digital Holdingsはまだ24.2倍のP/E比率を持つ株を潜在的に避けるべき株と見なす可能性があります。ただし、P/Eをそのまま受け入れるのは賢明ではなく、高い理由がある場合があるためです。
例えば、Direct Digital Holdingsの財務パフォーマンスが最近低調であり、収益が低迷しているため、P/Eが崩壊しないよう多くの人々が同社が今後もほとんどの企業を上回ると期待しているかもしれません。そうでなければ、特に理由がないにもかかわらず、相当高い価格を支払うことになるため、非常に不利益になります。
アナリストの予測はありませんが、Direct Digital Holdingsの収益、売上高、キャッシュフローについての無料レポートをチェックすることによって、最近のトレンドが将来の同社のポジションを構築している方法を確認できます。
高いP/E比に見合う成長があるか?
Direct Digital HoldingsのP/Eがこのように高い場合、企業の成長が市場を凌駕し続けるときだけ、あなたは本当に快適な気分になるでしょう。
このため、Direct Digital HoldingsのP/Eが他の多くの企業よりも高いことは非常に懸念すべきです。多くの投資家が最近の成長率がかなり限られていることを無視して、同社のビジネスの見通しの好転を期待しているようです。最近の成長率に比例して適正な水準になるまでP/Eが下落すれば、既存の株主たちは将来的な失望感を感じることになる可能性が高いと思います。
重要なポイント
最近の株価に関してはあまり快適ではありませんが、Direct Digital HoldingsのP/Eにはまだ一定の強みがあります。投資決定を下す際に、P/E比率にあまり読み込みすぎないように注意する必要がありますが、他の市場参加者が同社についてどう考えているかを多く教えてくれます。
最近の3年間の成長が市場全体の予測よりも低いため、Direct Digital Holdingsが現在予想よりもはるかに高いP/Eに取引されていることがわかりました。弱い収益と市場よりも遅い成長を見ると、株価が下落し、高いP/Eが低下するリスクがあると考えられます。最近の中期的な状況が著しく改善しない限り、これらの価格を合理的であると受け入れるのは非常に困難です。
例えば、Direct Digital Holdingsには4つの警告サインがあり(2つは重要なもの)、知っておくべきだと考えています。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。