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Transportation Telecommunication & Information Development Inc.Ltd.Zhejiang (SZSE:300469) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

交通機関テレコム&情報開発株式会社浙江(SZSE:300469)の株式が27%下落したかもしれませんが、安く参入することはまだ不可能です。

Simply Wall St ·  08/16 18:21

Transportation Telecommunication & Information Development Inc.Ltd.Zhejiang (SZSE:300469) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 11.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 3.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300469 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024

What Does Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 63% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Transportation Telecommunication & Information DevelopmentLtd.Zhejiang that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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