When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 48.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Stepan has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Stepan's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 76% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 108% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Stepan is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Stepan's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Stepan maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Stepan that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Stepan, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.