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At US$755, Is It Time To Put Graham Holdings Company (NYSE:GHC) On Your Watch List?

ニューヨーク証券取引所のGraham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC)をウォッチリストに入れる時間なのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  08/19 06:41

While Graham Holdings Company (NYSE:GHC) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$819 and falling to the lows of US$689. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Graham Holdings' current trading price of US$755 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Graham Holdings's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

What's The Opportunity In Graham Holdings?

According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 25.05x is currently well-above the industry average of 19.96x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Graham Holdings's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Graham Holdings?

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NYSE:GHC Earnings and Revenue Growth August 19th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Graham Holdings. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? GHC's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe GHC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on GHC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for GHC, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Graham Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Graham Holdings has 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

If you are no longer interested in Graham Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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