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Is GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000791) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

GEPICエネルギー開発株式会社(SZSE:000791)の最近の株価変動は、弱いファンダメンタルズに支えられているのですか?

Simply Wall St ·  08/20 21:55

GEPIC Energy Development (SZSE:000791) has had a rough three months with its share price down 23%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on GEPIC Energy Development's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GEPIC Energy Development is:

6.5% = CN¥641m ÷ CN¥9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

GEPIC Energy Development's Earnings Growth And 6.5% ROE

At first glance, GEPIC Energy Development's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Still, GEPIC Energy Development has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

We then compared GEPIC Energy Development's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.7% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

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SZSE:000791 Past Earnings Growth August 21st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is GEPIC Energy Development fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is GEPIC Energy Development Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 27% (meaning the company retains73% of profits) in the last three-year period, GEPIC Energy Development's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Moreover, GEPIC Energy Development has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about GEPIC Energy Development's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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