Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does H World Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that H World Group had debt of CN¥5.54b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥5.83b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥8.91b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.38b net cash position.
![1724332115431](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240822/42737949-0-116511612a0a49d7b2bab61ab44a27b4.webp/bigjpg)
A Look At H World Group's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that H World Group had liabilities of CN¥11.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥37.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.91b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.26b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥39.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥61.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, H World Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Better yet, H World Group grew its EBIT by 114% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if H World Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. H World Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, H World Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While H World Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥3.38b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥5.7b, being 135% of its EBIT. So we don't think H World Group's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for H World Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.