The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the long term shareholders of Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-Industry Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600305) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 53% drop in the share price over that period. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 34% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 14% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 13% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
Since Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd has shed CN¥452m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 42% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 22% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. With a P/E ratio of 109.91, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
This free interactive report on Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
But note: Jiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-IndustryLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.