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Getting In Cheap On Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002896) Is Unlikely

寧波中大利達智能傳動股份有限公司(SZSE:002896)への格安参入は困難です

Simply Wall St ·  08/22 19:54

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002896) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 26x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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SZSE:002896 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 16% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 23% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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