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At US$253, Is It Time To Put Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE:ITW) On Your Watch List?

NYSE:ITWの株価が253ドルに下落したことを考慮して、ウォッチリストにITWイリノイツールワークスを入れる時期でしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  08/31 08:45

Let's talk about the popular Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE:ITW). The company's shares had a relatively subdued couple of weeks in terms of changes in share price, which continued to float around the range of US$233 to US$254. However, is this the true valuation level of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Illinois Tool Works's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

What's The Opportunity In Illinois Tool Works?

According to our valuation model, Illinois Tool Works seems to be fairly priced at around 0.46% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Illinois Tool Works today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is $252.01, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Illinois Tool Works's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Illinois Tool Works?

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NYSE:ITW Earnings and Revenue Growth August 31st 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 15% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Illinois Tool Works. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ITW's positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on ITW, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Illinois Tool Works you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Illinois Tool Works, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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