The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Lenovo Group Limited (HKG:992) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Lenovo Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lenovo Group had debt of US$3.62b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$3.97b over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$4.02b in cash, leading to a US$401.0m net cash position.
![1725150002681](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240901/43152391-0-2086d4198e827d350897321d213273e3.webp/bigjpg)
How Healthy Is Lenovo Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Lenovo Group had liabilities of US$28.8b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.58b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$4.02b as well as receivables valued at US$11.4b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$19.0b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of US$15.3b, we think shareholders really should watch Lenovo Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that Lenovo Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
While Lenovo Group doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lenovo Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Lenovo Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Lenovo Group recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
Although Lenovo Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$401.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$894m, being 71% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Lenovo Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Lenovo Group .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.