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Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's (SZSE:301418) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

江蘇省シエチャン電子テクノロジーグループ(SZSE:301418)の業績の低さは、全体の一部に過ぎない可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  09/03 19:24

Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301418) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

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SZSE:301418 Earnings and Revenue History September 3rd 2024

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group has an accrual ratio of -0.11 for the year to June 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥87m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥60.4m. Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥6.0m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Our examination of Jiangsu Xiechang Electronic Technology Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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