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Why Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:001333) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

なぜZhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd(SZSE:001333)の不安定な収益は、その問題の始まりに過ぎないのか

Simply Wall St ·  09/04 17:45

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Zhejiang Guanghua Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001333) the stock price made a strong positive move. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.

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SZSE:001333 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024

Zooming In On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥244m despite its profit of CN¥114.0m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥244m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Unfortunately (in the short term) Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥16m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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