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Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's (SZSE:300915) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

上海ハイロードフードテクノロジー(SZSE:300915)の安定した利益は基本的に弱いです

Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:05

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300915) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

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SZSE:300915 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024

A Closer Look At Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.47 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥110.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥99m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥99m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology.

Our Take On Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 23% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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