When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) as an attractive investment with its 22x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Foryou as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Any Growth For Foryou?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Foryou's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 90% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Foryou is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Foryou's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Foryou (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Foryou. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.